This is an extremely interesting consideration of the validity and robustness of trends estimated from limited numbers of data points. The jury is still out on the magnitude and even direction of temperature trends on the Antarctic Peninsula – clearly the need for further research and data collection is ever more pressing.
When Karl et al. published a paper in 2015 suggesting that the previous incarnation of the NOAA sea surface temperature (SST) reconstruction was actually underestimating the scale of global ocean temperature rise, it somewhat predictably caused a lot of controversy. The chair of the US House of Representatives Science and Technology Committee started an investigation … Continue reading Pause for thought